Monday, December 31, 2007

DEC 30,2007
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NIFTY OUTLOOK - TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
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NIFTY Closes at 6079.70. SENSEX Closes at 20,206.95.

NIFTY stays indecisive. However, an intraday low below 6022 is inevitable. But the time factor is unpredictable.

As mentioned in previous posts, NIFTY is likely to test a low below 4446 and 4453 in long term.

Rupees appreciation against dollar is a dangerous proposition for Indian Economy in long term. It might prevent and discourage new investments in Export oriented industries, Textiles, IT, Pharma, SMEs supplying raw materials, SEZs, etc., which have a major contribution in Indian Growth story, might not have encouraging growth and end up in economic slowdown. If IT industry gets affected, spending could deplete and affect Real Estate firms, Banking, Consumer Durables,etc. Moreover, there is a chance of huge trade deficits and current account deficits, which could encourage FII outflows, which might affect markets.

Upper band -> 6234.95.

Lower band -> 5592.


Note: These views do not have any relevance to NIFTY futures.

Stocks to Watch
===============

Thursday, December 27, 2007

DEC 30,2007
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NIFTY OUTLOOK - TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
__________________________________

NIFTY Closes at 6079.70. SENSEX Closes at 20,206.95.

NIFTY stays indecisive. However, an intraday low below 6022 is inevitable. But the time factor is unpredictable.

As mentioned in previous posts, NIFTY is likely to test a low below 4446 and 4453 in long term.

Rupees appreciation against dollar is a dangerous proposition for Indian Economy in long term. It might prevent and discourage new investments in Export oriented industries, Textiles, IT, Pharma, SMEs supplying raw materials, SEZs, etc., which have a major contribution in Indian Growth story, might not have encouraging growth and end up in economic slowdown. If IT industry gets affected, spending could deplete and affect Real Estate firms, Banking, Consumer Durables,etc. Moreover, there is a chance of huge trade deficits and current account deficits, which could encourage FII outflows, which might affect markets.

Upper band -> 6234.95.

Lower band -> 5592.


Note: These views do not have any relevance to NIFTY futures.

Stocks to Watch
===============

Wednesday, December 26, 2007

DEC 26,2007
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NIFTY OUTLOOK - TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
__________________________________

NIFTY Closes at 5985.10. SENSEX Closes at 19,854.12.

"NIFTY stays at a crucial break out level. If NIFTY pulls back from this level, it may not be surprising." This is a quote from previous post. NIFTY had a fantastic rally as expected.

NIFTY is likely to test 6000+ again and if the momentum sustains, it would also test the upper band near 6200.

As mentioned in previous posts, NIFTY is likely to test a low below 4446 and 4453 in long term.

Rupees appreciation against dollar is a dangerous proposition for Indian Economy in long term. It might prevent and discourage new investments in Export oriented industries, Textiles, IT, Pharma, SMEs supplying raw materials, SEZs, etc., which have a major contribution in Indian Growth story, might not have encouraging growth and end up in economic slowdown. If IT industry gets affected, spending could deplete and affect Real Estate firms, Banking, Consumer Durables,etc. Moreover, there is a chance of huge trade deficits and current account deficits, which could encourage FII outflows, which might affect markets.

Upper band -> 6185.

Lower band -> 5527.90.


Note: These views do not have any relevance to NIFTY futures.

Stocks to Watch
===============

Thursday, December 20, 2007

Dec. 20, 2007
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NIFTY closes at 5751.15.

Chart patterns doesnot show any bullishness. Just watch the markets. It may take few days to set the next trend. Until then just watch and trade.