Thursday, July 31, 2008

July 31, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 4313.55. Sensex closes at 14287.21.

NIFTY got a technical confirmation for 4365. Similarly, NIFTY might test 4100 if there is any bearish onslaught.

NIFTY would close above 4505. It is a medium to long term target close.

Next support level lies around 4135 to 4120.

NIFTY might test 4600+ levels in medium term,if there is a good momentum.

Crude's correction augurs well. Outstanding crude oil futures contact numbers fell to the lowest in 17 months in New York, as the Senate began considering legislation to limit speculation in oil markets. This is a good news.

According to fundamental analysis, excluding the effect of speculation, oil should be around $80 per barrel. Crude oil would plunge steeply if it closes below $120 in New York, as per technical analysis. Else it may rebound with venom.

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

July 29, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 4332.10. Sensex closes at 14349.11.

NIFTY got a technical confirmation for 4365. So, this level should be tested in short to medium term. Buy in dips. Sell at 4365.

NIFTY would close above 4505. It is a medium term target close.

Beyond it there is no technically significant indications are available. Fall in international markets may help NIFTY to fall. If NIFTY tests 4247 level, bearishness could be expected.

Next support level lies around 4200 to 4215.

NIFTY might test 4600+ levels in medium term,if there is a good momentum.

Crude's correction augurs well. Outstanding crude oil futures contact numbers fell to the lowest in 17 months in New York, as the Senate began considering legislation to limit speculation in oil markets. This is a good news.

According to fundamental analysis, excluding the effect of speculation, oil should be around $80 per barrel. Crude oil would plunge steeply if it closes below $120 in New York, as per technical analysis. Else it may rebound with venom.

Monday, July 28, 2008

July 28, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 4311.85. Sensex closes at 14274.94.

Just watch the market. There is no clear cut technical indication for short term. However, bomb blasts might have some influence in the opening.

As mentioned in previous post NIFTY tested 4370. If NIFTY tests 4247 level, bearishness could be expected.

Next support level lies around 4200 to 4215.

NIFTY might test 4600+ levels in medium term,if there is a good momentum.

Crude's correction augurs well. Outstanding crude oil futures contact numbers fell to the lowest in 17 months in New York, as the Senate began considering legislation to limit speculation in oil markets. This is a good news.

According to fundamental analysis, excluding the effect of speculation, oil should be around $80 per barrel. Crude oil would plunge steeply if it closes below $120 in New York, as per technical analysis. Else it may rebound with venom.

Friday, July 25, 2008

July 25, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 4433.55.

"4535 is medium term target for NIFTY on the upper side." This is a quote from yesterday's post. NIFTY tested this target and retraced.

As of now, there is no significant technical trend. Inflation moderating for the first time is a good news. But crash in the asian markets don't support the momentum.
NIFTY is likely to test 4370 levels. Although the time frame is unpredictable.

Next support level lies around 4200 to 4215.

NIFTY might test 4600+ levels in medium term,if there is a good momentum.

Crude's correction augurs well. Outstanding crude oil futures contact numbers fell to the lowest in 17 months in New York, as the Senate began considering legislation to limit speculation in oil markets. This is a good news.

According to fundamental analysis, excluding the effect of speculation, oil should be around $80 per barrel. Crude oil would plunge steeply if it closes below $120 in New York, as per technical analysis. Else it may rebound with venom.

Thursday, July 24, 2008

July 24, 2008
--------------

NIFTY moves as per our expectation. Sound technicals backed by sound fundamentals sound well for the market. NIFTY might test 4600+ levels in medium term. Buy in all dips. Maintain it atleast until NIFTY reaches 4500+ levlels.

Crude's correction augurs well. Outstanding crude oil futures contact numbers fell to the lowest in 17 months in New York, as the Senate began considering legislation to limit speculation in oil markets. This is a good news.

According to fundamental analysis, excluding the effect of speculation, oil should be around $80 per barrel. Crude oil would plunge steeply if it closes below $120 in New York, as per technical analysis. Else it may rebound with venom.

4535 is medium term target for NIFTY on the upper side.

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

July 23, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 4240.10. Sensex closes at 14104.20.

NIFTY looks excellent. NIFTY might test 4600+ levels in medium term.

We mentioned in Yesterday post that NIFTY would test 4200+ levels. NIFTY closed well above that signifying the bullishness to follow. Political events too go well with the technical charts.

Other markets too have some influence on our markets.

Crude's correction augurs well. Result season will have some impact.

4535 is medium term target for NIFTY on the upper side.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then the recovery would take more time.

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

July 22, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 4159.50. Sensex closes at 13850.04.

NIFTY chart pattern looks good. However, further momentum could be derived from the political events to take place. Present chart pattern ensures 4200+ levels tested. If Government sails thru smoothly, this level can be expected today itself.

NIFTY will move up or down based on fundamental triggers in the near term rather than technical charts. Political situation might influence markets as of now.

Other markets too have some influence on our markets.

Technically NIFTY should cross 4210 in medium term.

Crude's correction augurs well. Result season will have some impact.

4535 is medium term target for NIFTY on the upper side.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 20 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then the recovery would take more time.

Monday, July 21, 2008

July 21, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 4098.

NIFTY will move up or down based on fundamental triggers in the near term rather than technical charts. Political situation might influence markets as of now. Stay away from markets atleast until confidence motion gets concluded.

Other markets too have some influence on our markets.

Technically NIFTY should cross 4210 in medium term.

Crude's correction augurs well. Result season will have some impact.

4535 is medium term target for NIFTY on the upper side.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 25 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then the recovery would take more time.

Friday, July 18, 2008

July 17, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 3947.2.

It has been mentioned consistently that 3800 would be tested. NIFTY tested this level as per our expectation. Similarly we mentioned $980 to $1000 as Gold's target.
Gold tested this level two days back.

NIFTY will move up or down based on fundamental triggers in the near term rather than technical charts. Other markets too have some influence on our markets. No trend for this morning.

Crude's correction augurs well. Result season will have some impact. Survival of this government, inflation, other economic data, International markets, etc will have some impact.

4054.01 to 4061.17 - Initial resistance Zone. This is the initial hurdle. Next resistance stays near 4400 levels.

4535 is medium term target for NIFTY on the upper side.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 25 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then the recovery would take more time.

Thursday, July 17, 2008

July 16, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 3816.70.

It has been mentioned consistently that 3800 would be tested. NIFTY tested this level as per our expectation.

NIFTY will move up or down based on fundamental triggers in the near term rather than technical charts. Other markets too have some influence on our markets.

If crude corrects further expect our markets to move up. Result season will have some impact. Survival of this government, inflation, other economic data, International markets, etc will have some impact.

4054.01 to 4061.17 - Initial resistance Zone. This is the initial hurdle. Next resistance stays near 4400 levels.

4535 is medium term target for NIFTY on the upper side.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 25 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then the recovery would take more time.

Wednesday, July 16, 2008

July 15, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 3861.10.

NIFTY moved as per the expectation. NIFTY would surely test yesterday's low near 3836 in future. Time frame is unpredictable.

NIFTY will move up or down based on fundamental triggers in the near term rather than technical charts. Other markets too have some influence on our markets.

If crude corrects further expect our markets to move up. Result season will have some impact. Survival of this government, inflation, other economic data, International markets, etc will have some impact.

4054.01 to 4061.17 - Initial resistance Zone. This is the initial hurdle. Next resistance stays near 4400 levels.

4535 is medium term target for NIFTY on the upper side.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 25 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then the recovery would take more time.

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

July 15, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 4039.7. SENSEX closes at 13,330.51.

A technical snag has prevented us from posting yesterday.

Yesterday's trading has no relevance. Though it seems to suggest no trend. Plunge in the asian markets might have some effect. Get ready for the next bearish onslaught.

When NIFTY breaks 3990.90 it would weaken further.

3962 to 3972 is the immediate support level.

4220 - Initial resistance Zone. This is the initial hurdle. Next resistance stays near 4400 levels.

4535 is medium term target for NIFTY on the upper side.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 30 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then the recovery would take more time.

TCS displayed good chart pattern 4 sessions back. We mentioned the same in our post. But the pattern has worked well, since it moved up sharply to 943 before taking a huge plunge. Wise traders could have made profits. The plunge has made its chart look vulnerable.

Friday, July 11, 2008

July 11, 2008
--------------

NIFTY closes at 4162.20. SENSEX closes at 13,926.24.

NIFTY tested previous session's high as expected and it couldn't move up against the resistance level. NIFTY might set a new trend today. It is a wait and watch day.

Yesterday's high should be convincingly broken. Infosys has provided a decent guidance. Expect a decent rally in IT pack. Good momentum could make NIFTY move above 4240.

4190 to 4220 - Initial resistance Zone. This is the initial hurdle. Next resistance stays near 4400 levels.

4535 is medium term target for NIFTY on the upper side.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 30 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then we're in a bear market.

Ranbaxy still remains a long term bet. Target 700+.

If there is a good momentum in IT stocks, expect TCS to move up.

Thursday, July 10, 2008

July 10, 2008
------------

NIFTY closes at 4157.10. SENSEX closes at 13,964.26.

As mentioned in previous post NIFTY tested 4130 levels yesterday. NIFTY chart patterns are looking good. But international market trend doesn't lend any support for its further up move. A high above 4165 could be expected in short term.

4190 to 4220 - Initial resistance Zone.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 30 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then we're in a bear market.

Ranbaxy still remains a long term bet. Target 700+.

Short term chart for TCS looks excellent.

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

July 9, 2008
------------

NIFTY closes at 3988.55. SENSEX closes at 13,349.65.

"International crude prices or currencies would set a new trend in few trading days. They might set the next short to medium term trend. New trend would have an influence on the equity markets." This is a quote from yesterday's post. Crude seems to have set the new trend. It is likely to have impact on our market trend.

Left's withdrawal of support, Samajwadi lending support, slight cooling down of crude,etc. likely to bring some cheers to markets in short term. As mentioned in previous post NIFTY might test 4130 levels in short term.

4045 to 4060 - Initial resistance Zone.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 35 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then we're in a bear market.

Tuesday, July 08, 2008

July 8, 2008
------------

NIFTY closes at 4030. SENSEX closes at 13,525.99.

Bull operators trying to create a good chart pattern. But fundamental factors and international market trends don't go well. Yesterday's pattern would help NIFTY to test 4130 levels, when there is a positive momentum, in short term.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 35 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then we're in a bear market.

International crude prices or currencies would set a new trend in few trading days. They might set the next short to medium term trend. New trend would have an influence on the equity markets.

Friday, July 04, 2008

July 4, 2008
------------

NIFTY closes at 3925.75.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 40 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then we're in a bear market.

International crude prices or currencies would set a new trend in 2 trading days. They might set the next short to medium term trend. New trend would have an influence on the equity markets.

Unless US Fed announces its intention to raise interest rates, all world markets would be in doldrums. It is the only trigger that could reverse the rising crude prices in long term.

Long term investors could look into midcap Public sector banks which are available at very steep discount to book value. Most of them trade at 50% to 70% of the book value. So investments in such stocks would fetch 100% rate of rate of return in two years time frame. This is a pessimistic view. In optimistic scenario 100% rate of return could be expected within a year.

Thursday, July 03, 2008

July 3, 2008
------------

Due to technical snag, we couldn't post for the past 3 days. Problems are to be fixed sooner or later. May be you can expect a new post tomorrow.

Investors, who are averse to risk avoid trading at least for 40 days. Technical analysis may not work well in this market. Markets are driven more by news than technical analysis.

Market is expected to bottom around 3550 to 3800 levels. If this level is broken, then we're in a bear market.

International crude prices or currencies would set a new trend in 2 trading days. They might set the next short to medium term trend.