NOV.12,2007
-----------

NIFTY OUTLOOK - TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
__________________________________

NIFTY Closes at 5663.25. Sensex Closes at 18,907.60.

NIFTY is in crucial stage. It tested medium term sma intraday. However, closing is above sma. Wait and watch for the trend confirmation.

As mentioned in previous posts, NIFTY is likely to test a low below 4446 and 4453 in medium to long term.

Support is at 5380.

Rupees appreciation against dollar is a dangerous proposition for Indian Economy in long term. It might prevent and discourage new investments in Export oriented industries, Textiles, IT, Pharma, SMEs supplying raw materials, SEZs, etc., which have a major contribution in Indian Growth story, might not have encouraging growth and end up in economic slowdown. If IT industry gets affected, spending could deplete and affect Real Estate firms, Banking, Consumer Durables,etc. Moreover, there is a chance of huge trade deficits and current account deficits, which could encourage FII outflows, which might affect markets.

Upper band -> 6093.

Lower band -> 5200.


Note: These views do not have any relevance to NIFTY futures.

Stocks to Watch
===============